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Dual Biomarker Strategy with [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and Copeptin Enhances Early Diagnosis and Risk Prediction in HRS-AKI
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Noussa Mahmoud EL-Adawy1, Mahmoud Saad Abdel-Aleem2, Roby Abdel-Aziz Abdel-Gelil3, Zaki Mohamed Zaki4, Hesham Kamal Habeeb Keryakos5,
Autor para correspondencia
hesham.keryakos@mu.edu.eg

Corresponding Author: Department of Internal Medicine and Nephrology, Institute/University/Hospital: Minia University Hospital - Minia Faculty of Medicine, Aswan-Cairo Agricultural Road, 61111 El-Minya, Egypt
1 Professor of Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
2 Professor of Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
3 Fellow of Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
4 Lecturer of Clinical Pathology, Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
5 Associate Professor of Internal Medicine and Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
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Abstract

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) in liver cirrhosis, particularly hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), is a life-threatening complication that requires early diagnosis for effective treatment. HRS can potentially be reversed with the early initiation of vasoconstrictors. This study evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic value of cell cycle arrest biomarkers [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and serum copeptin in HRS among Egyptian patients with HCV-related liver cirrhosis.

Aims: The primary objectives of this study were to determine whether serum copeptin and urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] can distinguish HRS-AKI from HRS-CKD and from non-HRS decompensated cirrhosis, and to evaluate whether these biomarkers, alone and in combination with MELD 3.0, improve short-term mortality risk prediction in patients with HRS-AKI.

Methods: This single-center observational study included 80 patients with HCV-related liver cirrhosis (20 compensated, 30 decompensated, 30 HRS) and 20 healthy controls. Urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and serum copeptin levels were measured and analyzed for association with HRS and mortality.

Results: Levels of both biomarkers were significantly elevated in HRS patients, particularly in HRS-AKI compared to HRS-CKD (p < 0.01). Serum copeptin showed a strong correlation with [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] (r = 0.72, p < 0.01). For HRS-AKI diagnosis, [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] (cutoff 0.25 [ng/mL]²/1000) demonstrated 93% sensitivity and 78% specificity, while copeptin (cutoff 9.97 pmol/L) showed 89% sensitivity and 83% specificity. The mortality rate in HRS-AKI was 66.7%, with both biomarkers significantly higher in non-survivors (p < 0.01). [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] (cutoff 0.52 [ng/mL]²/1000) predicted mortality with 92% sensitivity and 84% specificity.

Conclusion: In patients with decompensated HCV-related cirrhosis, combined assessment of serum copeptin and urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] distinguishes HRS-AKI from HRS-CKD and, when added to MELD 3.0, significantly improves short-term mortality risk stratification beyond conventional clinical scoring alone. Mortality prediction and proposed cutoffs are exploratory and require validation in larger cohorts before routine clinical implementation.

Keywords:
Liver cirrhosis
Hepatorenal syndrome
Serum copeptin
Cell cycle arrest biomarkers
TIMP-2
IGFBP7
Abbreviations:
AKI
ATI
AUC
BMI
CI
CKD
COPD
CPT
ELISA
eGFR
FeNa
HBV
HCV
HRS
HRS-AKI
HRS-CKD
ICA
IGFBP7
INR
KDIGO
LC
MAP
MELD
NGAL
NYHA
OR
ROC
SD
TIMP-2
UACR
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